Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.