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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 2, 2021 at 11am UK
Estadi Johan Cruyff

Barcelona
2 - 1
PSG

Martens (8', 31'), Katoto (34')
Lawrence (45'), Dudek (61'), Pereira (67'), Panos (78'), Oshoala (85'), Caldentey (90+2'), Putellas (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barcelona Women in this match.

Result
Barcelona WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
53.98%20.51%25.51%
Both teams to score 68.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.45%29.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.35%50.64%
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7%11.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.06%35.93%
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8%23.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9%57.1%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona Women 53.98%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 25.51%
    Draw 20.51%
Barcelona WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 6.62%
2-0 @ 6.23%
1-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.53%
4-1 @ 3.61%
4-2 @ 2.64%
4-0 @ 2.47%
5-1 @ 1.57%
4-3 @ 1.28%
5-2 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 2.62%
3-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-1 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-2 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.18%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 25.51%

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