Lyon have never lost back-to-back Champions League matches and after beating Juventus 3-0 at home in the competition last season, we think that the hosts will demonstrate that they possess the quality to overturn the first-leg deficit.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 47%. A win for Juventus Women had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Juventus Women win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.
