SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon Women | Draw | Roma Women |
50.3% ( -1.35) | 22.09% ( 0.34) | 27.61% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.21% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.52% ( -0.82) | 35.48% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.48% ( -0.91) | 57.52% ( 0.92) |
| Lyon Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( -0.72) | 14.45% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.6% ( -1.42) | 42.4% ( 1.43) |
| Roma Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0.26) | 24.95% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( 0.35) | 59.58% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon Women | Draw | Roma Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.61% |
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