SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Celtic Women had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Celtic Women win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid Femenino | Draw | Celtic Women |
46.3% ( 1.34) | 24.53% ( 0.33) | 29.17% ( -1.67) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -2.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( -2.34) | 45.83% ( 2.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( -2.27) | 68.15% ( 2.27) |
| Real Madrid Femenino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( -0.38) | 19.89% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( -0.61) | 52.01% ( 0.62) |
| Celtic Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( -2.3) | 29.17% ( 2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( -2.92) | 65.1% ( 2.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid Femenino | Draw | Celtic Women |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.57)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.42% Total : 29.17% |
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