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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 24, 2022 at 8pm UK
 
R

Benfica
1 - 0
Rosengard

Lacasse (23')
da Silva (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ayinde (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Benfica 2-3 Bayern Munich
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rosengard 1-4 Barcelona
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Benfica Women 2-1 Rosengard

We think that Thursday's contest could be a close-fought affair, but with home advantage in their favour, we believe that Benfica will claim a narrow victory against Rosengard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosengard win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosengard win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.02%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Benfica Women would win this match.

Result
Benfica WomenDrawRosengard
16.02% (0.067 0.07) 17.61% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 66.36% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 63.1% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.73% (-0.339 -0.34)29.27% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.69% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)50.31% (0.416 0.42)
Benfica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.149 -0.15)31.22% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)67.56% (0.176 0.18)
Rosengard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.73% (-0.122 -0.12)8.26% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.13% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)28.87% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Benfica Women 16.02%
    Rosengard 66.36%
    Draw 17.61%
Benfica WomenDrawRosengard
2-1 @ 4.36% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 3% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.75% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 16.02%
1-1 @ 7.49% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.58% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 17.61%
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 7.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.66% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.088 0.09)
1-4 @ 4.84% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.52% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-5 @ 2.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 66.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Benfica 2-3 Bayern Munich
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 9-0 Benfica
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Rosengard 1-4 Barcelona
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-1 Rosengard
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Rosengard 0-1 Bayern Munich
Thursday, April 1 at 6pm in Women's Champions League


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