Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Austria Women had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Austria Women win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
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