Although Belgium can take confidence from a hard-fought draw against Iceland, we think that they will struggle to cope with France's firepower, and we expect Diacre's side to clinch another comfortable victory on Thursday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Belgium Women had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Belgium Women win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.
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