Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
Academy Stadium
We said: Italy Women 2-1 Iceland Women
In the last six editions of the European Championships, Italy have won at least one match at each tournament, and we think that they pick themselves up from the defeat to France to edge out Iceland on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Iceland Women had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Iceland Women win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Italy Women | Draw | Iceland Women |
42.08% ( -0.07) | 23.78% ( 0.01) | 34.13% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.73% ( -0.02) |
| 59.7% ( -0.03) | 40.3% ( 0.02) |
| 37.32% ( -0.03) | 62.68% ( 0.03) |
| 80.55% ( -0.04) | 19.45% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.71% ( -0.07) | 51.29% ( 0.07) |
| 76.63% ( 0.02) | 23.36% ( -0.02) |
