Norway have cruised to 6-0 victories in their last two meetings against Thursday's opponents, and although we do not expect Northern Ireland to conceded six goals for a third time, we still think Sjogren's side will pick up a comfortable win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway Women win with a probability of 57.66%. A win for Northern Ireland Women had a probability of 21.81% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 1-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Northern Ireland Women win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway Women would win this match.
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