Although Spain may be without Hermoso and Putellas, we think that they will prove too strong for Finland on Friday to extend their unbeaten run to 24 matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Finland Women had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Finland Women win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.
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