Coverage of the Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Manchester City Women.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.