Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 78.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 7.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.52%) and 0-1 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.