With both teams struggling to pick up points, we think that this could be a cagey affair with a single goal deciding the contest, and despite their recent run of poor form, we believe that Brighton will have too much quality for their hosts on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester Women win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester Women would win this match.
