Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.