Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2023 at 3am UK
Allianz Stadium
Catalina Usme Pineda (30' pen.), Lizeth Caicedo Alegria (39')
Vanegas Catano (10'), Arias Vidal (45+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sim (29'), Lim (45+7')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia Women win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for South Korea Women had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a South Korea Women win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia Women would win this match.
| Result |
| Colombia Women | Draw | South Korea Women |
57.96% ( -0.2) | 23.66% ( 0.08) | 18.38% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( -0.03) |
| 47.48% ( -0.15) | 52.52% ( 0.15) |
| 25.82% ( -0.13) | 74.18% ( 0.13) |
| 82.1% ( -0.13) | 17.89% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.22) | 48.68% ( 0.22) |
| 57.36% ( 0.05) | 42.64% ( -0.05) |
