Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 93.03%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Haiti Women had a probability of 1.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.16%) and 2-0 (12.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.55%), while for a Haiti Women win it was 0-1 (0.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.05) 
