Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.06) 
