Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
-0.22) 
0.26) 
