Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
-1.13) 
0.03) 
