Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
0.27) 
-0.47) 
