Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nuremberg in this match.
0.42) 
-0.14) 
