With the form book very much in NAC Breda's favour, they have the momentum ahead of trying to upset the odds on Wednesday. However, we feel that Emmen's superior quality will ultimately shine through to give themselves the best chance of finishing the job in the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Emmen in this match.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Emmen
48.63% ( -0.44)	23.79% ( 0.24)	27.58% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.46% (

-0.97)

43.53% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.07% (

-0.96)

65.93% (

0.97)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

-0.54)

18.04% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.07% (

-0.94)

48.93% (

0.94)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0.36)

29.13% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

-0.45)

65.05% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 48.63%

Emmen 27.58%

Draw 23.78%

NAC Breda	Draw	Emmen
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.61% Total : 48.63%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.58%