SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
37.2% ( -0.04) | 25.66% ( -0) | 37.14% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( 0.01) | 48.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( 0.01) | 70.78% ( -0.01) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( -0.02) | 25.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( -0.02) | 60.4% ( 0.02) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( 0.03) | 25.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% ( 0.04) | 60.45% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.14% |
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