SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for KTP had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a KTP win it was 1-0 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | Ilves |
24.4% ( -10.97) | 25.89% ( -0.54) | 49.72% ( 11.51) |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( -4.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( -2.58) | 54.63% ( 2.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( -2.19) | 75.97% ( 2.19) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.34% ( -9.45) | 37.66% ( 9.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.56% ( -10.53) | 74.44% ( 10.53) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 4.54) | 22.01% ( -4.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( 6.43) | 55.33% ( -6.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 8.1% ( -1.38) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -1.97)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -2.04)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -1.41)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.75)3-0 @ 1.29% ( -1.24)Other @ 1.66% Total : 24.4% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.8)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.75)Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 12.54% ( 2.61) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 2.91)1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.94)0-3 @ 4.79% ( 1.88)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.99)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.85)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.55)Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.71% |
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