SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.58% ( -0.66) | 25.22% ( 0.11) | 39.2% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.24% ( -0.57) | 46.76% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.98% ( -0.54) | 69.02% ( 0.54) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.64) | 25.57% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( -0.88) | 60.44% ( 0.88) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( 0.03) | 23.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( 0.04) | 57.68% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.58% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.2% |
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