Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
1.54) 
-2.18) 
