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Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 24, 2023 at 10am UK
Suncorp Stadium
SF

Brisbane Roar
0 - 2
Sydney FC


Armiento (63'), Aldred (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mak (34'), le Fondre (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, April 16 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 16 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Sydney FC

With both teams coming into this fixture in form, it should prove to be competitive. Depending on how other results go, Sydney may be happy with a share of a spoils, but we feel that Brisbane's home advantage may lead to that outcome regardless. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawSydney FC
32.61% (-0.27 -0.27) 25.26% (0.276 0.28) 42.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.99% (-1.04 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (-1.312 -1.31)47.58% (1.309 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-1.224 -1.22)69.78% (1.221 1.22)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.809 -0.81)27.75% (0.805 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (-1.048 -1.05)63.32% (1.045 1.04)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.56899999999999 -0.57)22.5% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.855 -0.86)56.07% (0.851 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 32.61%
    Sydney FC 42.13%
    Draw 25.25%
Brisbane RoarDrawSydney FC
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.254 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.61%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.347 0.35)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, April 16 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 8 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 4-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 12 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 16 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-1 Sydney FC
Friday, April 7 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-3 Western Utd
Saturday, April 1 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-4 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Sydney FC
Sunday, March 12 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-0 Victory
Saturday, March 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League


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