SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
51.13% ( -0.6) | 22.89% ( 0.14) | 25.98% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.34% ( -0.25) | 40.65% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( -0.26) | 63.04% ( 0.26) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( -0.3) | 16.03% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.62% ( -0.56) | 45.38% ( 0.55) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( 0.21) | 28.8% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.34% ( 0.26) | 64.66% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.55% Total : 51.13% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.98% |
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