With Macarthur and Newcastle Jets battling it out for a place in the A-League Finals, we can see both sides ultimately cancelling each other in a tightly-contested affair at the Campbelltown Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Newcastle Jets
42.01% ( -0.83)	25.41% ( 0.27)	32.58% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 55.49% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

-0.99)

48.23% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

-0.91)

70.38% (

0.92)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

-0.82)

22.84% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.43% (

-1.23)

56.57% (

1.24)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.92% (

-0.12)

28.08% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.26% (

-0.16)

63.74% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 42.01%

Newcastle Jets 32.58%

Draw 25.4%

Macarthur	Draw	Newcastle Jets
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.01%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.58%