Fresh off the back of picking up their first win of the season, Western United will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to move into the top half of the table. While they have struggled in defence, they have been potent at the opposite end of the pitch and we predict that they will outscore the hosts and extend their dominance in this fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
-0.43) 
0.64) 
