SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Sepahan win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sepahan | Draw | Al-Hilal |
15.49% ( 0.07) | 19.41% ( 0.05) | 65.1% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.11) | 39.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( -0.12) | 61.6% ( 0.12) |
| Sepahan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% ( 0.02) | 38.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25% ( 0.02) | 75% ( -0.02) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.67% ( -0.07) | 11.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.01% ( -0.14) | 35.99% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sepahan | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.49% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.41% | 0-2 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.13% Total : 65.1% |
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