Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 11.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.98%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.