10 months since they last took the pitch, Botswana take on a Libya side who are unbeaten in three of their last four games on home turf. However, both sides head into the game evenly matched on paper and we predict they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Libya in this match.
