SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Tunisia |
44.02% ( -0) | 24.06% ( -0.21) | 31.91% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.88% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( 1.03) | 42.37% ( -1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( 1.02) | 64.77% ( -1.03) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( 0.42) | 19.46% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( 0.68) | 51.31% ( -0.69) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.62) | 25.64% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% ( 0.84) | 60.54% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botswana | Draw | Tunisia |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.91% |
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