SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.79%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Ghana |
14.31% ( -0.01) | 24.48% ( -0.05) | 61.21% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 37.45% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.89% ( 0.15) | 61.11% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.92% ( 0.11) | 81.07% ( -0.11) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.77% ( 0.08) | 53.22% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.21% ( 0.05) | 86.79% ( -0.05) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.07% ( 0.09) | 19.93% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.92% ( 0.14) | 52.08% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Madagascar | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.31% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 17.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 13.79% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.42% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 61.21% |
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