SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Hammarby |
31.55% ( 1.85) | 24.44% ( 0.29) | 44.01% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( -0.43) | 44.27% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.36% ( -0.42) | 66.65% ( 0.42) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( 1) | 26.8% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( 1.3) | 62.08% ( -1.29) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -1.09) | 20.24% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( -1.77) | 52.58% ( 1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.01% |
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