SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Elfsborg |
39.48% ( 0.47) | 24.65% ( -0.11) | 35.87% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.93% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% ( 0.45) | 44.1% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% ( 0.44) | 66.48% ( -0.44) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( 0.43) | 22.28% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% ( 0.65) | 55.73% ( -0.65) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.01) | 24.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.51% ( 0.01) | 58.49% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 35.87% |
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