SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 2-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Malmo |
20.67% ( -0.07) | 22.06% ( -0.05) | 57.27% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.26% ( 0.1) | 42.74% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% ( 0.1) | 65.14% ( -0.11) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( -0.01) | 34.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% ( -0.01) | 71.24% ( 0.01) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( 0.07) | 14.7% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.12% ( 0.14) | 42.88% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.67% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 57.27% |
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