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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 4
Apr 24, 2023 at 6.10pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
3 - 0
Norrkoping

Kiese Thelin (14'), Vecchia (72'), Ali (78')
Larsson (90+2'), Larsson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lind (53'), Lund (90+1')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and IFK Norrkoping.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Goteborg 0-1 Malmo
Monday, April 17 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-1 Varnamo
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawIFK Norrkoping
62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 21.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 16.8% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.57% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (0.052999999999997 0.05)44.96% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69% (0.050999999999995 0.05)67.31% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.05% (0.007000000000005 0.01)13.95% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)41.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.93% (0.068999999999996 0.07)40.07% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28% (0.061999999999998 0.06)76.72% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 61.98%
    IFK Norrkoping 16.8%
    Draw 21.2%
MalmoDrawIFK Norrkoping
1-0 @ 11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 61.98%
1-1 @ 10.06%
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.2%
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 16.8%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Goteborg 0-1 Malmo
Monday, April 17 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 1-2 Malmo
Saturday, April 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 1-0 Kalmar
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 2-2 Degerfors
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Malmo
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Varbergs 2-5 Malmo
Sunday, October 30 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-1 Varnamo
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AIK 0-3 Norrkoping
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-1 Sirius
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hacken 3-3 Norrkoping
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 0-1 Djurgarden
Monday, October 31 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-1 Norrkoping
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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