SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Sirius |
48.71% ( 5.59) | 23.52% ( -0.75) | 27.77% ( -4.83) |
| Both teams to score 59.19% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.85% ( 0.92) | 42.14% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.45% ( 0.91) | 64.55% ( -0.91) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% ( 2.66) | 17.47% ( -2.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.04% ( 4.44) | 47.96% ( -4.44) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -2.71) | 28.27% ( 2.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( -3.56) | 63.99% ( 3.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.91)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.7)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.84)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.48)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.49)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.87% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.8) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.78)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.85)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.59)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.52)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.77% |
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