Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
Result | ||
Sirius | Draw | Kalmar |
38.24% ( 0.17) | 25.26% ( -0.05) | 36.49% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.79% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.11% ( 0.2) | 46.89% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.85% ( 0.18) | 69.14% ( -0.19) |
Sirius Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( 0.18) | 24.16% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% ( 0.25) | 58.48% ( -0.26) |
Kalmar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% ( 0.02) | 25.11% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.19% ( 0.03) | 59.81% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sirius | Draw | Kalmar |
1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 36.49% |
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