SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Sundsvall had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Sundsvall win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sundsvall | Draw | Sirius |
28.87% ( 0.24) | 23.38% ( 0.11) | 47.75% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.51% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.22% ( -0.38) | 40.77% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.84% ( -0.39) | 63.16% ( 0.39) |
| Sundsvall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.03) | 26.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( -0.04) | 62.1% ( 0.04) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% ( -0.28) | 17.32% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.31% ( -0.49) | 47.69% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sundsvall | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.87% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.98% Total : 47.75% |
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