SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Sirius |
38.07% ( -0.71) | 25.19% ( 0.06) | 36.73% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( -0.24) | 46.54% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( -0.23) | 68.82% ( 0.23) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( -0.48) | 24.09% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% ( -0.69) | 58.38% ( 0.69) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( 0.25) | 24.82% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( 0.34) | 59.4% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Sirius |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.73% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
