SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Talleres |
39.49% ( 0.7) | 28.25% ( 0.22) | 32.27% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 46.61% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.49% ( -0.93) | 59.51% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.13% ( -0.72) | 79.87% ( 0.72) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( -0.05) | 29.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.64% ( -0.06) | 65.36% ( 0.06) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( -1.12) | 34.01% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% ( -1.23) | 70.69% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.58% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.26% |
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