Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 36.77%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (6.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.97%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (13.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.22) 
