SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 45.41%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Banfield |
45.41% ( 0.08) | 29.4% ( -0.03) | 25.19% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 40.23% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.28% ( 0.04) | 65.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.61% ( 0.03) | 84.39% ( -0.03) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( 0.06) | 29.13% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% ( 0.07) | 65.06% ( -0.08) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.77% ( -0.03) | 43.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.52% ( -0.03) | 79.48% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 45.4% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.03% Total : 25.19% |
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