SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 41.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 29.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
41.2% ( 0.05) | 29.53% ( -0.01) | 29.27% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.19% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.52% ( 0.03) | 64.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.47% ( 0.02) | 83.53% ( -0.02) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% ( 0.04) | 30.86% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% ( 0.05) | 67.14% ( -0.05) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% ( -0.02) | 38.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.29% ( -0.02) | 75.71% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.14% 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.27% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.52% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.52% Total : 29.27% |
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