SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Belgrano |
47.23% ( -0.14) | 28.33% ( 0.03) | 24.44% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.21% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.07% ( -0.04) | 62.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.59% ( -0.03) | 82.41% ( 0.03) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0.09) | 26.84% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( -0.12) | 62.14% ( 0.12) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.7% ( 0.07) | 42.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.31% ( 0.06) | 78.69% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 14.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.11% Total : 24.44% |
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