SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Cordoba win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Cordoba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Central Cordoba in this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Gimnasia |
39.6% ( 0.34) | 28% ( -0.21) | 32.41% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.73) | 58.61% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.84% ( 0.56) | 79.17% ( -0.56) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( 0.55) | 28.88% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% ( 0.67) | 64.75% ( -0.67) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( 0.29) | 33.44% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.93% ( 0.32) | 70.07% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.4% |
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